炼7品丹药最快的方法(5炼7)
修改于2020/02/161052 浏览玩家攻略
考虑6个小时炼7品丹:假设成丹都是1颗,6炼7每炉有80%成功率,5炼7每炉60%成功率
A.7炉炼3次:出3颗
B.6炉炼4次:出0颗(0.0016)、1颗(0.008*0.8*4=0.0256)、2颗(0.04*0.64*6=0.1536)、3颗(0.64*0.16*4=0.4096)、4颗(0.64*0.64=0.4096)
→数学期望出3.2颗
C.5炉炼6次:出0颗(0.4^6=0.004096)、1颗(0.6×0.4×0.4×0.4×0.4×0.4×6=0.036864)、2颗(0.6×0.6×0.4×0.4×0.4×0.4×6×5÷2=0.13824)、3颗(0.6×0.6×0.6×0.4×0.4×0.4×6×5×4÷3÷2=0.27648)、4颗(0.6×0.6×0.6×0.6×0.4×0.4×6×5÷2=0.31104)、5颗(0.6×0.6×0.6×0.6×0.6×0.4×6=0.186624)、6颗(0.6×0.6×0.6×0.6×0.6×0.6=0.046656)
→数学期望出3.6颗
故采用5炉炼7丹最快,而假若一炉2颗应该也不会影响最终结论

